FUTURE MONITOR
SECTIONS
ALLPOLITICSECONOMICSGEOPOLITICSOPINIONSFUTURE FRONT PAGEUS ELECTIONS
LOG INSIGN UP
ABOUTNEWSLETTERVICO.IO ↗

STORIES AND FORECASTS ARE CREATED BY THE VICO AI MODEL AND EDITED BY THE VICO EDITORIAL TEAM.

© 2026 VICO
FUTURE MONITOR
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
NEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
EXPLORE VICO.IO ↗
LOG INSIGN UP
28%VICOLECYWill the Australian government initiate formal legal proceedings against OpenAI for the u…48%VICOSMKFDid the US economy add at least 100,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in September 2026, as report…87%VICOLRNSWill the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report that the economy added at least 50,000 no…92%VICOHFFLWill the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report a positive change in nonfarm payroll empl…72%VICOFIJAthe US formalizes a revenue-control or escrow mechanism over Venezuelan oil proceeds befo…72%VICOTOZKWill Venezuela's total crude oil production exceed 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) befo…72%VICOSTBXWill US imports of Venezuelan crude oil exceed 900,000 barrels per day before December 31…25%VICOZQWLWill the November 2026 AI dialogue between China and the US produce any concrete safety c…49%VICOTBFFWill the Trump administration impose a formal ban or restriction on the export of diesel …72%VICORACPWill Ukraine experience nationwide emergency power blackouts, defined as rolling outages …12%VICOMDGEWill the United States and Iran hold a formal, direct, in-person negotiating round in the…54%VICORHNGWill the United States carry out major new military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites befo…83%VICOVSZAWill US federal net interest costs exceed $1.5 trillion for fiscal year 2027 before Octob…98%VICOROPIWill the national average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage reach or exceed 7.5% at any point b…22%VICOFWUQWill the US annual headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate fall below 3.3% bef…98%VICODVKVWill the United States and China officially announce a bilateral AI-safety mechanism, suc…72%VICOSDJLWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives with a net …46%VICOWHKHWill the United States government officially finalize the pending $14 billion arms sale t…2%VICOGRXSWill China and the United States formally sign a multi-year rare-earth supply guarantee a…1%VICOBYGQWill the United States government officially ease or remove existing export restrictions …85%VICOSWGEWill the U.S. 10-year Treasury note yield close at or above 5.0% on the final trading day…78%VICOYIRKWill the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) implement another interest rate hike in 202…30%VICOXMTPWill the CLARITY Act be reintroduced and passed by Congress before January 20, 2029?53%VICOLPMMWill the SEC and CFTC issue joint guidance or begin a formal rulemaking to divide token j…
28%VICOLECYWill the Australian government initiate formal legal proceedings against OpenAI for the u…48%VICOSMKFDid the US economy add at least 100,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in September 2026, as report…87%VICOLRNSWill the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report that the economy added at least 50,000 no…92%VICOHFFLWill the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report a positive change in nonfarm payroll empl…72%VICOFIJAthe US formalizes a revenue-control or escrow mechanism over Venezuelan oil proceeds befo…72%VICOTOZKWill Venezuela's total crude oil production exceed 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) befo…72%VICOSTBXWill US imports of Venezuelan crude oil exceed 900,000 barrels per day before December 31…25%VICOZQWLWill the November 2026 AI dialogue between China and the US produce any concrete safety c…49%VICOTBFFWill the Trump administration impose a formal ban or restriction on the export of diesel …72%VICORACPWill Ukraine experience nationwide emergency power blackouts, defined as rolling outages …12%VICOMDGEWill the United States and Iran hold a formal, direct, in-person negotiating round in the…54%VICORHNGWill the United States carry out major new military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites befo…83%VICOVSZAWill US federal net interest costs exceed $1.5 trillion for fiscal year 2027 before Octob…98%VICOROPIWill the national average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage reach or exceed 7.5% at any point b…22%VICOFWUQWill the US annual headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate fall below 3.3% bef…98%VICODVKVWill the United States and China officially announce a bilateral AI-safety mechanism, suc…72%VICOSDJLWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives with a net …46%VICOWHKHWill the United States government officially finalize the pending $14 billion arms sale t…2%VICOGRXSWill China and the United States formally sign a multi-year rare-earth supply guarantee a…1%VICOBYGQWill the United States government officially ease or remove existing export restrictions …85%VICOSWGEWill the U.S. 10-year Treasury note yield close at or above 5.0% on the final trading day…78%VICOYIRKWill the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) implement another interest rate hike in 202…30%VICOXMTPWill the CLARITY Act be reintroduced and passed by Congress before January 20, 2029?53%VICOLPMMWill the SEC and CFTC issue joint guidance or begin a formal rulemaking to divide token j…
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
NEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
FUTURE MONITORUsing forecasts and simulations of tomorrow to find insight into today's biggest stories.
ABOUT

About VICO Future Monitor

At VICO Future Monitor, we track the stories that haven't happened yet.

Using the VICO forecasting model, we assign probabilities to future events, model potential outcomes and simulate scenarios that evolve as new information emerges. The result is a data driven view of what could happen next in the world, designed to help readers evaluate today's news.

Ultimately, our goal is to help people make better-informed decisions.

VICO Future Monitor focuses on political, geopolitical and economic topics as well as other consequential events where understanding what comes next matters.

How VICO Forecasts the Future

The VICO AI model uses computational AI guided by mathematical constraints to deliver forecasts on real-world events. Our model takes in real-time data to inform our forecasts with up-to-the-minute information, enabling forecasts to evolve as the facts change.

VICO never uses prediction market data to generate our forecasts. Our forecasts are produced independently by the model and rigorously backtested against real-world outcomes. In testing, the VICO model performs better than most prediction markets and individual human forecasters.

About VICO Editorial

The VICO editorial team identifies the news and events where a forward-looking perspective can add meaningful context, then applies VICO's forecasts to those stories. Our editorial team may provide reporting, analysis and commentary but it never modifies forecasts. This separation is fundamental to VICO: the model produces the forecast; the editorial team provides context and analysis.

Meet The Team

VICO was founded by former senior finance, intelligence, and technology executives. Meet the team

Explore VICO to see the forecasts shaping tomorrow and sign up for VICO's Future Monitor.