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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Alabama

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DClyde W. Jones, Jr.2.1%
  • RJerry Lee Carl, Jr.97.9%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DShomari C. Figures31.4%
  • RRhett Marques68.6%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DVictor Lee "Lee" McInnis2%
  • RMichael Dennis "Mike" Rogers98%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DAmanda Noelle Pusczek0%
  • RRobert Brown Aderholt100%
  • OLee Jeh Cobb0%
Details & rationale →

District 5

Win probability
  • DAndrew Rankin Guyton Sneed4%
  • RDale Whitney Strong96%
Details & rationale →

District 6

Win probability
  • DMaurice Mercer2%
  • RGary Palmer98%
Details & rationale →

District 7

Win probability
  • DTerrycina Andrea "Terri" Sewell98%
  • RAmmie Akin2%
Details & rationale →

Alabama · Race details

District 4

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DAmanda Noelle PusczekDemocratic0%
  • RRobert Brown AderholtRepublican100%
  • OLee Jeh CobbWrite-in0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Lee Jeh Cobb.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)