FUTURE MONITOR
SECTIONS
ALLPOLITICSECONOMICSGEOPOLITICSOPINIONSFUTURE FRONT PAGEUS ELECTIONS
LOG INSIGN UP
ABOUTNEWSLETTERVICO.IO ↗

STORIES AND FORECASTS ARE CREATED BY THE VICO AI MODEL AND EDITED BY THE VICO EDITORIAL TEAM.

© 2026 VICO
FUTURE MONITOR
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
NEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
EXPLORE VICO.IO ↗
LOG INSIGN UP
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
NEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Arizona

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

Governor

Governor

Win probability
  • DKatie Hobbs86%
  • RAndy Biggs14%
  • ORisa Lombardo0%
  • OTeri Ann Hourihan0%
  • OGertritrude Gonzalez0%
Details & rationale →

Arizona · Race details

Governor

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DKatie HobbsDemocratic86%
  • RAndy BiggsRepublican14%
  • ORisa LombardoGreen0%
  • OTeri Ann HourihanNo Labels0%
  • OGertritrude GonzalezWrite-in0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Gertritrude Gonzalez. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: Gertritrude Gonzalez — Republican.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)