FUTURE MONITOR
SECTIONS
ALLPOLITICSECONOMICSGEOPOLITICSOPINIONSFUTURE FRONT PAGEUS ELECTIONS
LOG INSIGN UP
ABOUTNEWSLETTERVICO.IO ↗

STORIES AND FORECASTS ARE CREATED BY THE VICO AI MODEL AND EDITED BY THE VICO EDITORIAL TEAM.

© 2026 VICO
FUTURE MONITOR
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
NEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
EXPLORE VICO.IO ↗
LOG INSIGN UP
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
NEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Arkansas

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DTerri Yarbrough Green4.9%
  • REric Alan "Rick" Crawford95.1%
  • LSteve G. Parsons0%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DChristopher Michael "Chris" Jones28%
  • RJames French "French" Hill72%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DRobb Ryerse2%
  • RStephen A. "Steve" Womack98%
  • LBobby Wilson0%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DJames Richard "Rus" Russell, III1%
  • RBruce Westerman99%
Details & rationale →

Arkansas · Race details

District 1

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DTerri Yarbrough GreenDemocratic4.9%
  • REric Alan "Rick" CrawfordRepublican95.1%
  • LSteve G. ParsonsLibertarian0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)