FUTURE MONITOR
SECTIONS
ALLPOLITICSECONOMICSGEOPOLITICSOPINIONSFUTURE FRONT PAGEUS ELECTIONS
LOG INSIGN UP
ABOUTNEWSLETTERVICO.IO ↗

STORIES AND FORECASTS ARE CREATED BY THE VICO AI MODEL AND EDITED BY THE VICO EDITORIAL TEAM.

© 2026 VICO
FUTURE MONITOR
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
NEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
EXPLORE VICO.IO ↗
LOG INSIGN UP
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
NEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Connecticut

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DLuke Bronin96.1%
  • RAmy Fogelstrom Chai3.9%
  • OMary L. Sanders0%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DJoseph D. "Joe" Courtney96%
  • RGeorge Patrick Austin4%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DRosa L. DeLauro96%
  • RChristopher John "Chris" Lancia4%
  • OTom Egan0%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DJim Himes99%
  • RMichael Ted Goldstein1%
  • OBenjamin "Ben" Wesley0%
  • ODamon Lawrence Cerreta0%
Details & rationale →

District 5

Win probability
  • DJahana Hayes93.9%
  • RChris Shea6.1%
Details & rationale →

Connecticut · Race details

District 4

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DJim HimesDemocratic99%
  • RMichael Ted GoldsteinRepublican1%
  • OBenjamin "Ben" WesleyIndependent Party of Connecticut0%
  • ODamon Lawrence CerretaWrite-in0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Benjamin "Ben" Wesley; Damon Lawrence Cerreta. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: Damon Lawrence Cerreta — Unaffiliated.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)