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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Idaho

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DKaylee Jade Peterson5%
  • RRussell "Russ" Fulcher95%
  • OBrendan Joseph Gomez0%
  • ISarah Zabel0%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DElinor "Ellie" Gilbreath4%
  • RMichael Keith "Mike" Simpson96%
  • LWill Johanson0%
  • IEmre Houser0%
  • ITripp Charles Hutchinson0%
Details & rationale →

Idaho · Race details

District 2

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DElinor "Ellie" GilbreathDemocratic4%
  • RMichael Keith "Mike" SimpsonRepublican96%
  • LWill JohansonLibertarian0%
  • IEmre HouserIndependent0%
  • ITripp Charles HutchinsonIndependent0%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)