Win probabilities
- DCindy HolscherDemocratic30.3%
- RTy MastersonRepublican69.7%
- OSharilyn RayWrite-in0%
Candidate sources & notes
Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The forecast still names Jeff Colyer; the current source lists Ty Masterson instead. The forecast subject and probability have not been reassigned. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Sharilyn Ray. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: Sharilyn Ray — Independent.