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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Kansas

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DLauren Reinhold3.9%
  • RTracey Robert Mann96.1%
  • LSteven Robert Jacob0%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DDon Coover10%
  • RDerek Schmidt90%
  • LJohn Hauer0%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DSharice L. Davids93.9%
  • REric Jenkins6.1%
  • LSteven Adam "Steve" Hohe0%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DKaty Tyndell6.7%
  • RRon Estes93.3%
  • LAndrew Ira "Drew" Cranmer0%
Details & rationale →

Kansas · Race details

District 4

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DKaty TyndellDemocratic6.7%
  • RRon EstesRepublican93.3%
  • LAndrew Ira "Drew" CranmerLibertarian0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Andrew Ira "Drew" Cranmer.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)