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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Louisiana

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DLauren Jewett1%
  • RRandall Steven "Randy" Arrington0%
  • RStephen J. "Steve" Scalise99%
  • IE. "Liddy" Glass0%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • RPeter Williams2%
  • LLisa Ballay0%
  • IWalter "Rocky" Beach0%
  • IRenada "Honey" Collins1%
  • DTroy A. Carter, Sr.97%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DJohn David Day0%
  • DPriscilla Gonzalez1.9%
  • DCaleb "With a C" Walker1%
  • R'Kate' Cotten1.9%
  • RClay Higgins95.2%
  • ITia Marie LeBrun0%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DConrad Roberts Cable0%
  • DMatthew "Matt" Gromlich0%
  • RGordon Heslop0%
  • RJames Michael "Mike" Johnson100%
  • RMichael "Mike" Nichols0%
Details & rationale →

District 5

Win probability
  • DDan McKay2.6%
  • DPatricia Ann "Pat" Moore1.7%
  • DAntonio Wilson1.7%
  • RStewart Cathey, Jr.6.9%
  • RMisti Smith Cordell16.4%
  • ROscar "Omar" Dantzler1.7%
  • RMichael Charles Echols44%
  • RMichael Gabriel "Gabe" Firment23.3%
  • RAustin Magee1.7%
Details & rationale →

District 6

Win probability
  • DChauna Banks5.4%
  • DPatrick "Pat" Forbes2.2%
  • DLindsay "Rubia" Garcia2.2%
  • RAnjanita Monique "Monique" Appeaning2.2%
  • RLarry Davis, III2.2%
  • RRick Edmonds38.7%
  • RMichael Edward Mebruer2.2%
  • RBlake Miguez32.3%
  • RStephen Wagley12.9%
  • LRufus H. Craig, Jr.0%
Details & rationale →

Louisiana · Race details

District 3

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DJohn David DayDemocratic0%
  • DPriscilla GonzalezDemocratic1.9%
  • DCaleb "With a C" WalkerDemocratic1%
  • R'Kate' CottenRepublican1.9%
  • RClay HigginsRepublican95.2%
  • ITia Marie LeBrunNo Party0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: Tia Marie LeBrun — Democratic. This is the 3 November open U.S. Representative primary slate, not a final two-candidate runoff field; the official calendar lists the open U.S. Representative general election on 12 December. The Senate follows a different 2026 schedule.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 3 (opens in a new tab)