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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Maine

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U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DChellie M. Pingree97.1%
  • RRonald Charles "Ron" Russell2.9%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DMatthew G. "Matt" Dunlap48.6%
  • RPaul R. LePage51.4%
  • OGregory A. Ward0%
Details & rationale →

Maine · Race details

District 2

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DMatthew G. "Matt" DunlapDemocratic48.6%
  • RPaul R. LePageRepublican51.4%
  • OGregory A. WardWrite-in0%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: Gregory A. Ward — Independent.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)