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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Maryland

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

State

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Find a district

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability

DDaniel "Dan" Schwartz6%
RAndrew P. "Andy" Harris94%
OEdward Shlikas0%

Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability

DJohn Anthony "Johnny O" Olszewski, Jr.96.1%
RDavid Drain "Dave" Wallace, II3.9%

Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability

DSarah Kelly Elfreth96.1%
RBernard "Berney" Flowers3.9%

Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability

DGlenn Frederick Ivey99%
RGeorge E. McDermott1%
OSamuel Frank "Sam" Husseini0%

Details & rationale →

District 5

Win probability

DAdrian A. Boafo96%
RChristopher Parry "Chris" Chaffee4%
OMildred Marie Hall0%

Details & rationale →

District 6

Win probability

DApril McClain Delaney92.9%
RRobin Ficker7.1%
OMoshe Y. Landman0%

Details & rationale →

District 7

Win probability

DKweisi Mfume99%
RScott M. Collier1%

Details & rationale →

District 8

Win probability

DJamin B. "Jamie" Raskin97%
RCheryl Riley2%
ONancy Wallace1%

Details & rationale →

Maryland · Race details

District 2

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

DJohn Anthony "Johnny O" Olszewski, Jr.Democratic96.1%
RDavid Drain "Dave" Wallace, IIRepublican3.9%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)