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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Maryland

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DDaniel "Dan" Schwartz6%
  • RAndrew P. "Andy" Harris94%
  • OEdward Shlikas0%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DJohn Anthony "Johnny O" Olszewski, Jr.96.1%
  • RDavid Drain "Dave" Wallace, II3.9%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DSarah Kelly Elfreth96.1%
  • RBernard "Berney" Flowers3.9%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DGlenn Frederick Ivey99%
  • RGeorge E. McDermott1%
  • OSamuel Frank "Sam" Husseini0%
Details & rationale →

District 5

Win probability
  • DAdrian A. Boafo96%
  • RChristopher Parry "Chris" Chaffee4%
  • OMildred Marie Hall0%
Details & rationale →

District 6

Win probability
  • DApril McClain Delaney92.9%
  • RRobin Ficker7.1%
  • OMoshe Y. Landman0%
Details & rationale →

District 7

Win probability
  • DKweisi Mfume99%
  • RScott M. Collier1%
Details & rationale →

District 8

Win probability
  • DJamin B. "Jamie" Raskin97%
  • RCheryl Riley2%
  • ONancy Wallace1%
Details & rationale →

Maryland · Race details

District 3

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DSarah Kelly ElfrethDemocratic96.1%
  • RBernard "Berney" FlowersRepublican3.9%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)