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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Massachusetts

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DRichard E. Neal100%
  • INadia D. Milleron0%
  • OAnthony Patrick Celata0%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DJames P. "Jim" McGovern100%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DLori Loureiro Trahan97.1%
  • RGary J. Grossi2.9%
  • IDennis Conlon0%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DJacob D. "Jake" Auchincloss100%
  • RThomas "Tom" Stalcup0%
Details & rationale →

District 5

Win probability
  • DKatherine M. Clark100%
  • ODerek Fleming0%
Details & rationale →

District 6

Win probability
  • DDaniel Arrigg "Dan" Koh94.2%
  • RMicah Quinney Jones5.8%
Details & rationale →

District 7

Win probability
  • DAyanna S. Pressley100%
  • OKelechi "KC" Linardon0%
Details & rationale →

District 8

Win probability
  • DStephen F. Lynch100%
  • RRobert Gerald "Rob" Burke0%
  • IRasheed Nicholas Walters0%
Details & rationale →

District 9

Win probability
  • DWilliam Richard "Bill" Keating96%
  • RRobert Tyler "Tyler" Macallister4%
Details & rationale →

Massachusetts · Race details

District 4

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DJacob D. "Jake" AuchinclossDemocratic100%
  • RThomas "Tom" StalcupRepublican0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)