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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Mississippi

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

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U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DJames Clifton "Cliff" Johnson, III6%
  • RJohn Trent "Trent" Kelly94%
  • LJohnny Michael Baucom0%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DBennie G. Thompson98%
  • RRon Eller2%
  • IBennie Lee Foster, Jr.0%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DMichael Alexis Chiaradio2%
  • RMichael Patrick Guest98%
  • LErik Kiehle0%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DJeffrey Hulum, III0%
  • RWalter Michael "Mike" Ezell98%
  • ICarl Lester Boyanton2%
Details & rationale →

Mississippi · Race details

District 3

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DMichael Alexis ChiaradioDemocratic2%
  • RMichael Patrick GuestRepublican98%
  • LErik KiehleLibertarian0%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)