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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Montana

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

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U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DSamuel Kelley "Sam" Forstag41%
  • RAaron Flint59%
  • LNick Sheedy0%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DBrian James Miller2%
  • RTroy Downing97.1%
  • LPatrick Neal McCracken0%
  • IMichael D. Eisenhauer1%
Details & rationale →

Montana · Race details

District 1

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DSamuel Kelley "Sam" ForstagDemocratic41%
  • RAaron FlintRepublican59%
  • LNick SheedyLibertarian0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)