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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Nebraska

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DChristopher "Chris" Backemeyer19.4%
  • RMike Flood79.6%
  • LNik Sandman0%
  • ODan Hartong0.9%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DDenise Powell75.3%
  • RBrinker Harding24.7%
  • LEric Michael Foreman0%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DBecky Lynn Kelly Stille3.8%
  • RAdrian M. Smith92.5%
  • ODavid J. "Dave" Else0%
  • OMacey Budke0%
  • OMark Cohen3.8%
Details & rationale →

Nebraska · Race details

District 3

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DBecky Lynn Kelly StilleDemocratic3.8%
  • RAdrian M. SmithRepublican92.5%
  • ODavid J. "Dave" ElseLegal Marijuana Now0%
  • OMacey BudkeNebraska Working People0%
  • OMark CohenBy Petition3.8%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)