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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Nevada

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U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DAlice Costandina "Dina" Titus88.8%
  • RCarrie Ann Buck10.2%
  • IAfzal "Bobby" Khan1%
  • ISteven "Chap" St. John0%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DTeresa Francisca Benitez-Thompson28%
  • RDavid Flippo68%
  • OLynn Chapman4%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DSusan Kelley "Susie" Lee81.6%
  • RMartin "Marty" O'Donnell18.4%
  • OJon Kamerath0%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DSteven Alexzander Horsford88.5%
  • RCody Kent Whipple10.6%
  • ORussell "Russ" Best1%
  • IWilliam Johnson0%
Details & rationale →

Nevada · Race details

District 4

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DSteven Alexzander HorsfordDemocratic88.5%
  • RCody Kent WhippleRepublican10.6%
  • ORussell "Russ" BestIndependent American1%
  • IWilliam JohnsonNo Political Party0%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)