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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

New Mexico

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DMelanie Ann Stansbury96.1%
  • RNdidiamaka Ekwua Charlene "Didi" Okpareke3.9%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DGabriel "Gabe" Vasquez63.4%
  • RGregory G. "Greg" Cunningham36.6%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DTeresa Leger Fernandez96.1%
  • RMartin R. Zamora3.9%
Details & rationale →

New Mexico · Race details

District 1

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DMelanie Ann StansburyDemocratic96.1%
  • RNdidiamaka Ekwua Charlene "Didi" OkparekeRepublican3.9%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)