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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

New York

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Governor

Governor

Win probability
  • DKathleen Courtney "Kathy" Hochul94%
  • RBruce A. Blakeman6%
  • OPaul Mailhot0%
  • OJonathan Makeley0%
Details & rationale →

New York · Race details

Governor

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DKathleen Courtney "Kathy" HochulDemocratic, Working Families94%
  • RBruce A. BlakemanConservative, Republican, Vote Affordable6%
  • OPaul MailhotWrite-in0%
  • OJonathan MakeleyWrite-in0%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Paul Mailhot; Jonathan Makeley. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: Paul Mailhot — Socialist Workers Party; Jonathan Makeley — Prohibition Party.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)