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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Ohio

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DGreg Landsman66.7%
  • REric Conroy33.3%
  • LNathan Weise0%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DJen Mazzuckelli11%
  • RDavid J. "Dave" Taylor89%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DJoyce B. Beatty92.5%
  • RCleophus Dulaney6.6%
  • IJason Fistick0%
  • OSantana Jade Dials0.9%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DJoshua "Josh" Kolasinski2%
  • RJames D. "Jim" Jordan98%
  • ITracey Tackett0%
Details & rationale →

District 5

Win probability
  • DBrian Alan Shaver1%
  • RRobert Edward "Bob" Latta99%
  • IDalton James Franklin0%
  • OMichael Veloff0%
Details & rationale →

District 6

Win probability
  • DElizabeth Ann Kirtley6.1%
  • RMichael A. Rulli93.9%
Details & rationale →

District 7

Win probability
  • DBrian K. Poindexter49%
  • RMax Miller51%
  • OBrian DuVall-Gambino0%
  • OAndrey Martinichin0%
Details & rationale →

District 8

Win probability
  • DVanessa L. Enoch4.3%
  • RWarren Davidson95.7%
Details & rationale →

District 9

Win probability
  • DMarcia Carolyn "Marcy" Kaptur53.2%
  • RDerek Merrin46.8%
  • LMatthew Althaus0%
  • OKathy McKinstry0%
Details & rationale →

District 10

Win probability
  • DKristina Knickerbocker17%
  • RMichael R. "Mike" Turner83%
  • LThomas F. "Tom" McMasters0%
Details & rationale →

District 11

Win probability
  • DShontel M. Brown98%
  • RMike Kirchner2%
  • ICortney Peterson0%
Details & rationale →

District 12

Win probability
  • DJerrad Shane Christian8%
  • RWilliam Troy "Troy" Balderson92%
Details & rationale →

District 13

Win probability
  • DEmilia Sykes64.2%
  • RCarey Coleman35.8%
  • ISandeep S. Dixit0%
Details & rationale →

District 14

Win probability
  • DMaria Jukic4.3%
  • RDavid P. "Dave" Joyce95.7%
Details & rationale →

District 15

Win probability
  • DDon Ralph Leonard23.4%
  • RMike Carey76.6%
  • LBrennan Jacob Barrington0%
Details & rationale →

Ohio · Race details

District 9

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DMarcia Carolyn "Marcy" KapturDemocratic53.2%
  • RDerek MerrinRepublican46.8%
  • LMatthew AlthausLibertarian0%
  • OKathy McKinstryWrite-in0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Kathy McKinstry.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)