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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Oregon

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DSuzanne M. Bonamici98%
  • RBarbara J. Kahl2%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DChris L. Beck3.9%
  • RCliff Bentz96.1%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DMaxine E. Dexter100%
  • RLoran C. Ayles0%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DValerie "Val" Hoyle93%
  • RMonique J. DeSpain7%
  • OJustin Filip0%
Details & rationale →

District 5

Win probability
  • DJanelle S. Bynum91.8%
  • RPatti J. Adair8.2%
  • OAndrea Thorn Townsend0%
Details & rationale →

District 6

Win probability
  • DAndrea Salinas96%
  • RDavid Russ4%
Details & rationale →

Oregon · Race details

District 4

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DValerie "Val" HoyleDemocratic, Working Families93%
  • RMonique J. DeSpainLibertarian, Republican7%
  • OJustin FilipPacific Green, Progressive0%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)