FUTURE MONITOR
SECTIONS
ALLPOLITICSECONOMICSGEOPOLITICSOPINIONSFUTURE FRONT PAGEUS ELECTIONS
LOG INSIGN UP
ABOUTNEWSLETTERVICO.IO ↗

STORIES AND FORECASTS ARE CREATED BY THE VICO AI MODEL AND EDITED BY THE VICO EDITORIAL TEAM.

© 2026 VICO
FUTURE MONITOR
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
NEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
EXPLORE VICO.IO ↗
LOG INSIGN UP
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
NEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Pennsylvania

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DRobert J. "Bob" Harvie, Jr.41.2%
  • RBrian K. Fitzpatrick58.8%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DBrendan F. Boyle98%
  • RJessica Arriaga2%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DChristopher M. "Chris" Rabb99%
  • IDennis Joseph Mahoney1%
  • OAbby Tilsner0%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DMadeleine Dean Cunnane94.1%
  • RAurora Stuski5.9%
Details & rationale →

District 5

Win probability
  • DMary Gay Scanlon98%
  • RNicholas Waln Morris "Nick" Manganaro2%
Details & rationale →

District 6

Win probability
  • DChristina Jampoler "Chrissy" Houlahan96%
  • RMartin "Marty" Young4%
  • OPhilip Vincent Cerroni0%
Details & rationale →

District 7

Win probability
  • DRobert R. "Bob" Brooks83.7%
  • RRyan Edward Mackenzie16.3%
Details & rationale →

District 8

Win probability
  • DPaige Gebhardt Cognetti65%
  • RRobert Paul "Rob" Bresnahan, Jr.35%
Details & rationale →

District 9

Win probability
  • DRachel Lillian Wallace3.9%
  • RDaniel Philip "Dan" Meuser96.1%
Details & rationale →

District 10

Win probability
  • DJanelle Stelson72%
  • RScott G. Perry28%
  • IFogel G. Shimp0%
Details & rationale →

District 11

Win probability
  • DNancy Ellen Mannion2%
  • RLloyd K. Smucker98%
Details & rationale →

District 12

Win probability
  • DSummer Lynn Lee94.2%
  • RJames Hayes5.8%
  • OSergio Zambrana0%
Details & rationale →

District 13

Win probability
  • DElizabeth Rhoads "Beth" Farnham3.9%
  • RJohn Joyce96.1%
Details & rationale →

District 14

Win probability
  • DDavid Alan "lan" Bradstock5.8%
  • RGuy Lorin Reschenthaler94.2%
Details & rationale →

District 15

Win probability
  • DRaymond Allen "Ray" Bilger3%
  • RGlenn William "G.T." Thompson, Jr.97%
Details & rationale →

District 16

Win probability
  • DJustin Reed Wagner9.4%
  • RGeorge Joseph "Mike" Kelly, Jr.90.6%
Details & rationale →

District 17

Win probability
  • DChristopher Raphael "Chris" Deluzio96%
  • RAnthony G. "Tony" Guy4%
Details & rationale →