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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Pennsylvania

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Governor

Governor

Win probability
  • DJoshua D. "Josh" Shapiro96%
  • RStacy Lorraine Garrity4%
  • LKenneth V. "Ken" Krawchuk0%
  • OAnthony James "Tony" Dastra0%
  • OTony Lane0%
  • OJames Moore0%
Details & rationale →

Pennsylvania · Race details

Governor

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DJoshua D. "Josh" ShapiroDemocratic96%
  • RStacy Lorraine GarrityRepublican4%
  • LKenneth V. "Ken" KrawchukLibertarian0%
  • OAnthony James "Tony" DastraWrite-in0%
  • OTony LaneWrite-in0%
  • OJames MooreWrite-in0%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Kenneth V. "Ken" Krawchuk; Anthony James "Tony" Dastra; Tony Lane; James Moore. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: Anthony James "Tony" Dastra — Green; Tony Lane — Socialist Workers Party.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)