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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

South Carolina

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

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U.S. House

District 1

Win probability
  • DNancy S. Lacore24%
  • RJenny Costa Honeycutt76%
  • LWilliam Oliver "Bill" Reeside, Jr.0%
  • OClayton Alexander Cuteri0%
Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability
  • DZyon Deshon El-Khalifa7.8%
  • RAddison Graves "Joe" Wilson, Sr.92.2%
  • ODayna Alane Smith0%
Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability
  • DEunice K. Lehmacher0%
  • RSheryl S. "Sheri" Biggs100%
  • LBrian J. Corriea0%
Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability
  • DCourtney Deanna McClain4.1%
  • RWilliam Richardson Timmons, IV95.9%
  • LJessica Ethridge0%
Details & rationale →

District 5

Win probability
  • DMallory B. Dittmer8%
  • RDavid W. "Wes" Climer92%
Details & rationale →

District 6

Win probability
  • DJames Enos "Jim" Clyburn96%
  • RJohn A. Peterson4%
Details & rationale →

District 7

Win probability
  • DJohn Gregory Vincent6%
  • RRussell W. Fry94%
  • OCarter Montgomery Gibson-Grossmann0%
Details & rationale →

South Carolina · Race details

District 7

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DJohn Gregory VincentDemocratic6%
  • RRussell W. FryRepublican94%
  • OCarter Montgomery Gibson-GrossmannWrite-in0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Carter Montgomery Gibson-Grossmann.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)