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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Tennessee

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Governor

Governor

Win probability
  • DJerri Green5.9%
  • RMarsha Blackburn93.1%
  • IMisam Abidi0%
  • IHarold Dean "Dean" Brewer0%
  • IEdgar Ray "Ray" Brown0%
  • IDavid Elmer Hatley1%
  • IWendell Jackson0%
  • ICharles Van Morgan0%
  • IEddie Lee Murphy0%
  • ILauren M. Pinkston0%
  • IVictor Lloyd "Vic" Scoggin0%
  • IDavid "Dave" Seeman0%
  • IKarl Knox Smithson0%
  • ILarita Webb "L. Webb" Taylor0%
  • IRobert C. Vick0%
  • OStephen C. Maxwell0%
Details & rationale →

Tennessee · Race details

Governor

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DJerri GreenDemocratic5.9%
  • RMarsha BlackburnRepublican93.1%
  • IMisam AbidiIndependent0%
  • IHarold Dean "Dean" BrewerIndependent0%
  • IEdgar Ray "Ray" BrownIndependent0%
  • IDavid Elmer HatleyIndependent1%
  • IWendell JacksonIndependent0%
  • ICharles Van MorganIndependent0%
  • IEddie Lee MurphyIndependent0%
  • ILauren M. PinkstonIndependent0%
  • IVictor Lloyd "Vic" ScogginIndependent0%
  • IDavid "Dave" SeemanIndependent0%
  • IKarl Knox SmithsonIndependent0%
  • ILarita Webb "L. Webb" TaylorIndependent0%
  • IRobert C. VickIndependent0%
  • OStephen C. MaxwellWrite-in0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Stephen C. Maxwell. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: David Elmer Hatley — Republican; Lauren M. Pinkston — Forward Party.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)