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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Texas

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Governor

Governor

Win probability
  • DGina Hinojosa16.2%
  • RGreg Abbott83.8%
  • LPat Dixon0%
  • OEdward Earl Giles0%
  • OJinghpaw Majoishingra0%
  • OMike Miller0%
  • OJenn Mack Raphoon0%
Details & rationale →

Texas · Race details

Governor

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DGina HinojosaDemocratic16.2%
  • RGreg AbbottRepublican83.8%
  • LPat DixonLibertarian0%
  • OEdward Earl GilesWrite-in0%
  • OJinghpaw MajoishingraWrite-in0%
  • OMike MillerWrite-in0%
  • OJenn Mack RaphoonWrite-in0%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: Jenn Mack Raphoon — Independent.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)