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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Utah

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

State

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U.S. House

District 1

Win probability

DBen McAdams91.1%
RRiley Montgomery Owen8.9%
LJesse Keegan West0%
IElias Henry Montgomery0%
OBabak "Bobby" Darvish0%

Details & rationale →

District 2

Win probability

DPeter Crosby32.3%
RBlake David Moore66.7%
LDaniel R. Cottam1%
OCarlton E. Bowen0%
IRobert Michael Moesinger0%

Details & rationale →

District 3

Win probability

DKent Stewart Udell4%
RCeleste Maloy95%
OCassie Easley0%
LMichael Ray "Mike" Stoddard0%
IAdonis Hooslyn1%
IAyden Tate Scott0%

Details & rationale →

District 4

Win probability

DJonathan "Jonny" Larsen6.8%
RMichael S. "Mike" Kennedy93.2%
LTaylor Wright0%
ISteven Burt0%

Details & rationale →

Utah · Race details

District 3

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

DKent Stewart UdellDemocratic4%
RCeleste MaloyRepublican95%
OCassie EasleyConstitution0%
LMichael Ray "Mike" StoddardLibertarian0%
IAdonis HooslynUnaffiliated1%
IAyden Tate ScottUnaffiliated0%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Adonis Hooslyn; Ayden Tate Scott. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: Ayden Tate Scott — Republican.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)