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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Wisconsin

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Governor

Governor

Win probability
  • DDavid Carl Crowley53.1%
  • RThomas "Tom" Tiffany46.9%
  • ODavid D. King0%
Details & rationale →

Wisconsin · Race details

Governor

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DDavid Carl CrowleyDemocratic53.1%
  • RThomas "Tom" TiffanyRepublican46.9%
  • ODavid D. KingWrite-in0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The forecast still names Mandela Barnes; the current source lists David Carl Crowley instead. The forecast subject and probability have not been reassigned. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: David D. King. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: David D. King — Independent.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)