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US Midterm Tracker 2026

Explore House, Senate and governor races. Choose an office, then a state.

Current coverage: 506 scheduled races.

Office

Select a state to view its races.

  • ALR 98%
  • AKD 55.9%
  • AZ
  • ARR 93.9%
  • CA
  • COD 96%
  • CT
  • DED 98%
  • FLR 81.6%
  • GAD 88%
  • HI
  • IDR 91.9%
  • ILD 96%
  • IN
  • IATIE
  • KSR 67%
  • KYR 87.3%
  • LAR 95.9%
  • MER 58.1%
  • MD
  • MAD 98%
  • MID 73.6%
  • MND 61.6%
  • MSR 91%
  • MO
  • MTR 89%
  • NER 59.8%
  • NV
  • NHD 82.2%
  • NJD 98%
  • NMD 98%
  • NY
  • NCD 80%
  • ND
  • OHD 50%
  • OKR 96.1%
  • ORD 96%
  • PA
  • RID 96.1%
  • SCR 86.5%
  • SDR 95.9%
  • TNR 96.1%
  • TXD 61.3%
  • UT
  • VT
  • VAD 98%
  • WA
  • WVR 97%
  • WI
  • WYR 98%
Map key
Party win probability
DR
Independent leadNonmajor-party leadTieNo electionMissing data

Colors show each party’s average win probability across the state’s races. Select a color for its probability range.