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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Arkansas

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

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Senate

U.S. Senate

Win probability
  • DHallie Shoffner6.1%
  • RThomas B. "Tom" Cotton93.9%
  • LJeffrey Francis "Jeff" Wadlin0%
Details & rationale →

Arkansas · Race details

U.S. Senate

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DHallie ShoffnerDemocratic6.1%
  • RThomas B. "Tom" CottonRepublican93.9%
  • LJeffrey Francis "Jeff" WadlinLibertarian0%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)