Win probabilities
- DThomas Jonathan "Jon" OssoffDemocratic88%
- RMichael Allen "Mike" Collins, Jr.Republican12%
- OElbert Arthur "Al" BartellWrite-in0%
- OChristina Loren ClementWrite-in0%
- OCassandra "Cazz" EastonWrite-in0%
Candidate sources & notes
Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source workbook and page label this 2026 Class 2 election as 6 November, rather than the nationwide 3 November date. The race is retained by its state, office and election cycle; this source date discrepancy does not change the forecast. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: Elbert Arthur "Al" Bartell — Independent.