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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Kentucky

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State

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Senate

U.S. Senate

Win probability

DCharles Booker12.7%
RGarland "Andy" Barr87.3%
OChristopher Todd Campbell0%
OThomas Michael "Tom" Murphy0%

Details & rationale →

Kentucky · Race details

U.S. Senate

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

DCharles BookerDemocratic12.7%
RGarland "Andy" BarrRepublican87.3%
OChristopher Todd CampbellKentucky0%
OThomas Michael "Tom" MurphyWrite-in0%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)