FUTURE MONITOR
SECTIONS
ALLPOLITICSECONOMICSGEOPOLITICSOPINIONSFUTURE FRONT PAGEUS ELECTIONS
LOG INSIGN UP
ABOUTNEWSLETTERVICO.IO ↗

STORIES AND FORECASTS ARE CREATED BY THE VICO AI MODEL AND EDITED BY THE VICO EDITORIAL TEAM.

© 2026 VICO
FUTURE MONITOR
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
NEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
EXPLORE VICO.IO ↗
LOG INSIGN UP
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
MIDTERM TRACKERNEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
NEWSLETTER↗ABOUT
Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Michigan

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

Senate

U.S. Senate

Win probability
  • DAbdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed "Abdul" El-Sayed73.6%
  • RMichael J. "Mike" Rogers25.3%
  • ODouglas Philip "Doug" Marsh0%
  • LLydia Lynn Christensen0%
  • OTimothy E. "Tim" Long0%
  • OWalter P. Kristy1.1%
Details & rationale →

Michigan · Race details

U.S. Senate

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DAbdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed "Abdul" El-SayedDemocratic73.6%
  • RMichael J. "Mike" RogersRepublican25.3%
  • ODouglas Philip "Doug" MarshGreen0%
  • LLydia Lynn ChristensenLibertarian0%
  • OTimothy E. "Tim" LongU.S. Taxpayers0%
  • OWalter P. KristyNatural Law1.1%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Douglas Philip "Doug" Marsh; Lydia Lynn Christensen; Timothy E. "Tim" Long; Walter P. Kristy.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)