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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Minnesota

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

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Senate

U.S. Senate

Win probability
  • DMargaret "Peggy" Flanagan61.6%
  • RMichele Tafoya37.4%
  • LRebecca Whiting1%
  • IMarisa Simonetti0%
  • OKevin Dwire0%
Details & rationale →

Minnesota · Race details

U.S. Senate

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DMargaret "Peggy" FlanaganDemocratic-Farmer Labor61.6%
  • RMichele TafoyaRepublican37.4%
  • LRebecca WhitingLibertarian1%
  • IMarisa SimonettiIndependent0%
  • OKevin DwireWrite-in0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. The source has not independently confirmed ballot certification for: Kevin Dwire. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: Marisa Simonetti — Republican; Kevin Dwire — Socialist Workers Party.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)