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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Oregon

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

Search by state name or postal abbreviation.

Senate

U.S. Senate

Win probability
  • DJeffrey Alan "Jeff" Merkley96%
  • RDavid Brock Smith4%
  • LGary Lyndon Dye0%
  • OChristopher Kenneth "Chris" Henry0%
Details & rationale →

Oregon · Race details

U.S. Senate

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DJeffrey Alan "Jeff" MerkleyDemocratic, Working Families96%
  • RDavid Brock SmithRepublican4%
  • LGary Lyndon DyeLibertarian0%
  • OChristopher Kenneth "Chris" HenryPacific Green, Progressive0%

Race rationale

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Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)