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Back to US Midterm Tracker 2026

Tennessee

Search for a House district or browse races by office.

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Senate

U.S. Senate

Win probability
  • DMarquita Bradshaw2.9%
  • RBill Hagerty96.1%
  • IWilliam Tharon "Tharon" Chandler0%
  • IAndrew Gerena0%
  • IJeremy Dean Hearn0%
  • IRobert Thomas Jones0%
  • IJames William Macon, III1%
  • IYoshi Dawn Matthews0%
  • IDavid Sutman, Jr.0%
  • ICatherine Barcel "Barcy" Whitson0%
Details & rationale →

Tennessee · Race details

U.S. Senate

Forecast as of Oct 2, 2026 UTC

Win probabilities

  • DMarquita BradshawDemocratic2.9%
  • RBill HagertyRepublican96.1%
  • IWilliam Tharon "Tharon" ChandlerIndependent0%
  • IAndrew GerenaIndependent0%
  • IJeremy Dean HearnIndependent0%
  • IRobert Thomas JonesIndependent0%
  • IJames William Macon, IIIIndependent1%
  • IYoshi Dawn MatthewsIndependent0%
  • IDavid Sutman, Jr.Independent0%
  • ICatherine Barcel "Barcy" WhitsonIndependent0%

Race rationale

Loading rationale…

Candidate sources & notes

Source-listed candidates retrieved 28 September 2026; not an official certification or completeness claim. Additional affiliations not shown as ballot party labels: Yoshi Dawn Matthews — Republican.

Candidate source 1 (opens in a new tab)Candidate source 2 (opens in a new tab)